Articles Tagged "Winter 2011-12"

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It's here! England's first snowfall in Cumbria... and more is on the way this weekend by Emily Allen
Friday, December 2nd 2011, 9:33 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
#Severe weather warning issued for northern Scotland as snow expected Sunday and Monday .

#Snow also lay on the peaks of Snowdonia for the first time this winter.


Winter's first snow flakes have fallen in the north of England and more of the white stuff is on its way this weekend say forecasters.

As much of the country awoke to a crisp, frosty morning, in the South Tyne Valley snow quickly blanketed the ground and blizzards greeted those who ventured outdoors.

Snow also lay on the peaks of Snowdonia today for the first time this winter.

The Met Office has issued a severe weather warning for northern Scotland warning residents to brace themselves for snow on Sunday and Monday. Snow could also make an appearance across the Pennines.


Click source to read FULL report from Emily Allen
Source Link: dailymail.co.uk
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USA Long-range winter forecast is updated by Vicki Rock
Friday, December 2nd 2011, 8:20 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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SOMERSET -— Apparently 'tis not the season for those who are fond of snowy weather.

On Thursday AccuWeather released an updated winter outlook that backs off the idea that December will get the winter off to a snowy start.

"That's out the window," Paul Pastelok, chief long-range forecaster, said in a written release.

Snowfall this season is likely to be near to below normal in the mid-Atlantic region, with temperatures averaging above normal. Pastelok sees a season in which winter storms tend to cut toward the Great Lakes rather than blow up off the East Coast. That would keep the region on the warm side of storms.

Meteorologist Meghan Evans said the worst snow and cold will be in the Midwest and interior Northwest. Chicago and Minneapolis will lie in the heart of this zone.
Source Link: dailyamerican.com
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Prepare for extra-heavy dose of snow, climatologist warns
Friday, November 18th 2011, 11:52 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Canadians may have to wait longer for the full, frigid effects of winter this year but chilly weather is still on its way, an Environment Canada climatologist has warned.

"We've never cancelled winter in this country. We're not going to do it this year," David Phillips told CTV News Channel on Thursday.

When winter finally blankets Canada, Phillips said colder-than-usual weather is expected courtesy of a natural phenomenon known as "La Nina."

Known as the opposite of El Ninos, La Nina is characterized by chillier sea surface temperatures in the Pacific. Phillips said those conditions will result in an extra-heavy dose of winter snow for Canada.

"There's a choreography that exists between what the ocean temperatures are like and the air above it," Phillips told CTVNews.ca. "Ultimately, La Nina tends to force Arctic air down deeper into the heart of North America

Click source to read FULL report
Source Link: edmonton.ctv.ca/
Nor’easter: Biggest October Storm in NYC History? by Ben Forer
Saturday, October 29th 2011, 2:30 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A rare October Nor’easter that is forecast to hit at least 10 states from North Carolina to Maine starting Saturday morning has the potential to be the biggest October storm in New York City history, according to AccuWeather.com senior meteorologist Paul Walker.

“The record for snow in October for New York City is .8 inches set on Oct. 30, 1925,” said Walker. “This has the possibility to beat that.”

Inland communities will bear the brunt of the storm with heavy wet snow forecast to fall starting in the afternoon from Virginia, West Virginia and Pennsylvania to Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine.

Areas near Springfield, Mass., could see as much as 10 inches of snow.

Major cities up and down the coast can expect to see a chilly rain on Saturday morning that changes to snow in the evening.


Click source to read FULL report by Ben Forer
Source Link: abcnews.go.com
NOAA Issues La Nina Focused Winter Weather 2011-2012 Outlook by H. Michael Mogil
Sunday, October 23rd 2011, 3:42 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Predicted winter temperature pattern for the U.S. based on La Nina winter conditions. Warm weather is likely across the Southern Plains; chilly temperatures can be expected along the West Coast and along the northern states into the Great Lakes. Credit: NOAA/NWS

On Thursday, October 20, 2011, the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its weather outlook for the period December 2011 through February 2012 (meteorological winter). Meteorological seasons begin on the first day of the month in which astronomical winter begins.

Overall, it’s an easy to understand forecast. La Nina hasn’t gone away and is, in fact, going to strengthen a bit. This keeps the southern jet stream across the U.S. weaker than might otherwise be expected. It is also linked to a stronger western U.S. upper level ridge and a deeper trough in the region from the Mississippi Valley to the Appalachians.

Click source to read FULL report from H. Michael Mogil
Source Link: examiner.com
NOAA releases 2011-2012 winter outlook by Brent McGrady, Environmental News Examiner
Friday, October 21st 2011, 12:14 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
NOAA released their 2011-2012 winter outlook today, and by the looks of it, their forecast calls for more of the same for many parts of the country as La Nina is expected to influence weather patterns across the United States for the second winter in a row. The Arctic Oscillation will play the wild card that could produce dramatic temperature swings across the lower 48 this winter.

Here is what NOAA released earlier today for the coming winter:

ABNORMALLY COLD OCEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, AN INCREASE IN BELOW-AVERAGE SUBSURFACE OCEAN TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC, AND THE OBSERVED ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ACROSS THE PACIFIC INDICATE THAT LA NINA CONDITIONS EXIST. IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH LA NINA ARE LIKELY DURING THE AUTUMN, WINTER AND SPRING MONTHS.

THE SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR NDJ 2011-12 SHOWS ENHANCED CHANCES FOR ABOVE NORMAL SEASONAL MEAN TEMPERATURE FOR THE SOUTHWEST, THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAINS, THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS, SECTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS, AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED FOR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA.
Source Link: examiner.com/
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The outlook for winter 2011-2012 by Kirk Melhuish, Atlanta Weather Examiner
Friday, October 21st 2011, 12:10 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
WSB Meteorologist has released his winter outlook, we quote it here:

It is worth noting that Metro Atlanta has now experienced three consecutive winters with significant 3 inch+ snowfalls, you have to go back to 1892 to 1895 to find the same thing.

According to Klause Wolter of the CDC: “The current rank of the MEI has dropped further from 16th last month to 13th this month, just a little weaker than moderate La Niña rankings. The 2010-11 portion of this La Niña event had been classified as strong (top 6 rankings since 1950) from July-August 2010 through March-April 2011, tied with 1975-76 for 2nd place in terms of strong duration, and only behind 1955-56 (15 months).

ENSO is comprised of both El Nino and La Nina and La Nada or neutral phases. El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon to cause global climate variability on interannual time scales. Here we attempt to monitor ENSO by basing the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) on the six main observed variables over the tropical Pacific. These six variables are: sea-level pressure (P), zonal (U) and meridional (V) components of the surface wind, sea surface temperature (S), surface air temperature (A), and total cloudiness fraction of the sky (C).


Click source to read FULL report from Kirk Melhuish
Source Link: examiner.com
UK Met Office Pours Cold Water On Severe Winter 2011-12 Forecasts by Mark Dunphy
Saturday, October 15th 2011, 12:00 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The UK Met Office has distanced itself from recent media reports that the UK and Ireland are set for an ‘Arctic Winter’. The UKMO, which stopped issuing seasonal forecasts in 2010, also has said that recent long range forecasts by other agencies “bear no relation to the kinds of weather that forecasters at the Met Office are currently expecting”.

iWeather Online (IWO) also has forecast that Ireland and the UK are unlikely to see a repeat of the pre-Christmas freeze of 2010. Temperatures are expected to remain below average for much of the coming season, however, according to the IWO forecast.

In an opinion piece for The Times, UKMO Chief Executive John Hirst called for a sense of reason in response to the claims (read 1, 2, 3) of other forecasting agencies in weeks.
Source Link: irishweatheronline.com
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Sun's 11-year cycle means we're in for Arctic freeze this winter, say scientists by Leon Watson
Monday, October 10th 2011, 11:46 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Study measures sun's UV radiation to 'predict' seasons

First-ever 'high-resolution' scan of solar radiation

Cycle's effect on weather 'greater than first thought'

This year's low radiation makes for cold Easterly winds


It's been a lovely Indian summer - but it could come back to bite us.

That's what scientists predict after working out the first ever pattern of activity for the sun.

According to research, the sun runs on an 11-year cycle - and this affects winter weather over the northern hemisphere.
Source Link: dailymail.co.uk
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Brrr-ace yourselves! Britain to shiver in -20C in WEEKS as councils stockpile extra grit by Emily Allen
Sunday, October 9th 2011, 12:19 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
1.4million tonnes of salt has been ordered this year

Snow already falling in Scotland

Temperatures in London today are 16.5C lower than last week


Britain is just weeks away from being in the grip of temperatures as low as -20C, forecasters have predicted.

Parts of Britain already saw snow this week, with two inches falling in the Cairngorms in Scotland.

The rest of Britain is being warned to brace itself for wintry conditions and falling snow from the beginning of November.

And it looks like the colder weather is already on its way - as temperatures today plunged in certain areas to just 8C - a staggering 21.5C below last weekend's record highs - with the wind chill making it feel decidedly colder

In central London today readings of 13C were recorded, in Macduff, Aberdeenshire, the mercury plummeted to 8C, while Plymouth, in Devon, was comparatively basking in 16C of heat.
Source Link: dailymail.co.uk
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