Articles Tagged "Winter 2011-12"

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Winter forecast: Brutal cold, snow for Midwest by Doyle Rice, USA TODAY
Wednesday, October 5th 2011, 5:52 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Image: AccuWeather

Another punishing winter is likely for the north-central USA, according to a forecast released today by the private weather forecasting firm AccuWeather.

While the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic shouldn't see a winter as severe as last year, bitterly cold blasts of arctic air are expected in the northern Plains, Midwest and Great Lakes in December and January, with above-average snowfall, according to AccuWeather long-range meteorologist Paul Pastelok.

Chicago, which endured several blizzards last winter, could be one of the hardest-hit U.S. cities in terms of both snow and cold, he says.

In the South, there is little hope for Texas to escape its epic drought this winter, as below-average precipitation is predicted for most of the state.

Click sorce to read FULL report from Doyle Rice
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AccuWeather: This winter to be much like the last by Dawn Rhodes
Wednesday, October 5th 2011, 10:04 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
But not all prognosticators agree

If you're hoping for a reprieve from heavy snowfall in Chicago this winter, you may be out in the cold.

Meteorologists at predict that Chicago will get between 50 and 58 inches of snow this winter, on par with last winter's total of 57.9 inches.

AccuWeather senior meteorologist Paul Pastelok said colder-than-average weather will hit harder in December and January, then ease slightly in February. However, the snow will be more evenly distributed throughout the season, rather than falling in crippling bunches like February's Groundhog Day blizzard, Pastelok said.

"It doesn't mean we're going to have an exact replica of last year," Pastelok said, "but it's going to be similar."

Click source to read FULL report from Dawn Rhodes
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Blame an anticipated colder, snowier winter on effects of La Nina by Meg Jones
Monday, October 3rd 2011, 1:19 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
MILWAUKEE – The Pacific Ocean near the equator is gradually cooling, and that could mean another cold and snowy winter in Wisconsin.

Forecasters are predicting another La Nina winter, an unusual occurrence since last winter was also under the influence of La Nina.

While it’s always difficult to predict weather, La Nina winters are noted for below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall.

"One thing that you can usually count on in La Nina winters – the chance of it being milder than average is pretty low," said Jeff Craven, science and operations officer at the National Weather Service office in Sullivan, Wis. "Someone looking to wear shorts this winter will have to go south of here."

There have been only four consecutive La Nina winters in the last six decades. Records of the weather phenomenon date to 1950

Click source to read FULL report from Meg Jones
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Are we set for a long, cold Winter? by Adrian Lee
Friday, September 23rd 2011, 3:23 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
THE leaves haven’t yet fallen from the trees and the forecasters are already predicting a bleak start to winter.

After one last sunshine bonanza at the end of next week, when the mercury is set to nudge the mid-20Cs, it will be time to batten down the hatches. According to several forecasters, if you thought last year was bad you ain’t seen nothing yet. Snow by the end of October is just one of the gloomy predictions unveiled in the latest batch of attentiongrabbing long-range forecasts.

The weather is now big business, worth an estimated £500million to companies now rivalling the Met Office and playing a key role in the economy. There’s huge pressure to gaze into the future, allowing us all to make plans. In fact, some companies are now producing forecasts for the next nine months, although stressing they can only be a guide. With the British weather notoriously fickle and prone to change over a matter of hours, how on earth can the forecasters look so far ahead?

It’s done by studying a complex mix of factors, including previous conditions at any given time of year. Even now the temperature of the sea surface in the equatorial part of the Pacific Ocean will have an impact on the British winter to come. If it falls lower than normal for several months, the phenomenon is known as La Niña. The most dramatic effects are seen nearby but La Niña can have an impact on weather thousands of miles away. It influences the jet stream, an intense upper air current that helps the creation of the low pressure fronts which sweep across Britain from the Atlantic, normally bringing wet, mild weather.

Click source to read several forecasts inc. Piers Corbyn
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Piers Corbyn: What’s all this about a Cold Autumn & Winter?
Thursday, September 22nd 2011, 10:21 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentBRITAIN FACES AN EARLY BIG FREEZE by Nathan Rao - Daily Express

BRITAIN was warned yesterday of another big freeze this winter – with snow expected to sweep in as early as next month. Temperatures are forecast to drop to below average for the time of year over the next few months. The early onset of winter was predicted by experts at Exacta Weather. Long-range forecaster James Madden said on its website: “As we head towards winter, I expect to see the first signs of some moderate to heavy snowfalls as early as October or November in certain parts of the UK.

“I expect December, January, and February to experience below-average temperatures, with the heaviest snowfalls occurring within the time frame of November to ­January across many parts of the UK.” The UK and Ireland would be hit by ­“prolonged periods of extreme cold and snow from the Arctic regions as cold easterlies or north-easterlies develop”. Mr Madden said: “Huge swirly low-­pressure systems also offer the potential for widespread disruption from heavy snowfall across many parts of the UK including the South, as they clash with the predominant cold air.”.. click above Daily Express link to read FULL report from Nathan Rao.

Piers Corbyn: “It’s baseless hype from a gaggle of wannabes”
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Severe Weather Conditions Predicted to Return This Winter by Rita O'Connor
Thursday, September 22nd 2011, 10:07 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Mr James Madden from Electra Weather, who has predicted another harsh winter for Ireland for 2011, has also predicted unusual wind strengths for this autumn, which he says will result in possible damaging gale force winds.

According to Electra Weather there will also be an early start to winter as the weather turns progressively colder with heavy snowfalls between November to January. They have concerns as to the huge implications this may pose to infrastructure and Ireland’s transportation systems/economy.

Communications Officer for the Dublin Met Office said that “these predictions could be right, but equally they could be wrong, its guess work.” The Met Office spokesperson added that their office in Dublin doesn’t make long range weather forecasts and never have.

According to Exacta Weather, they base their predictions on low solar activity and ocean behaviour which alter atmospheric circulation and block jet stream patterns that create enhanced moisture in terms of snowfall and extreme cold.

Click source to read FULL report from Rita O'Connor
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Britain to be hit by SNOW in October... forecasters warn an early winter is on its way by Jessica Satherley
Tuesday, September 20th 2011, 5:31 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Britain is about to experience an early winter, with snow expected to arrive as soon as next month, forecasters have warned.

Temperatures over the next three months will plummet to below average with one long-range forecaster predicting snowfalls in October.

James Madden, of Exacta Weather, said: ‘I expect to see the first signs of some moderate to heavy snowfalls as early as October or November in certain parts of the UK.

‘I expect December, January and February to experience below-average temperatures, with the heaviest snowfall occurring within the time frame of November to January across many parts of the UK
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Looming U.S. Winter May Repeat Cold, Snow by Brian K. Sullivan
Saturday, September 17th 2011, 7:44 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The winter of 2011-2012 will probably be colder than normal for much of the northern U.S., although a repeat of the worst of last year’s East Coast snowstorms is unlikely, forecasters said.

A cooling in the Pacific Ocean known as La Nina is predicted to return this year, joined by another season of frigid Arctic blasts caused by pressure differentials over the North Pole and northern Atlantic Ocean.

“We’re looking at a cold start to the winter with maybe a mild finish,” said Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland.

Forecasters are predicting the coldest weather from the Great Plains to the Great Lakes, along with heavy snows across the northern tier. Cold weather is likely to increase demand for heating and power-plant fuels.

The coming winter may be colder than both the 30- and 10- year averages, increasing heating demand, said Travis Hartman, a meteorologist at MDA EarthSat Weather in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Nov. 1 to March 31 will probably be 7 percent colder than the 10-year norm and 1.3 percent colder than last year, Rogers said.

New York City may be hit by several snowstorms, according to Hartman. He doesn’t expect a repeat of the past two years, when snow records fell in Central Park and some city streets were unplowed for days.

Click source to read FULL report from Brian K. Sullivan
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Early Winter Snowfall Predicted For Ireland And UK by Mark Dunphy
Sunday, September 4th 2011, 12:28 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A long range weather forecaster is predicting an early start to winter 2011-2012 for many regions of the United Kingdom and Ireland. James Madden of Exacta Weather says heavy snowfalls are likely in places as soon as late October and early November.

Last week, UK-based Positive Weather Solutions also predicted that the winter months will be colder than average everywhere and that some regions will experience significantly colder than average temperatures between December and March.

The agency, which has a relatively high success rate in its long range weather predictions, has also given a 36% chance of the Ireland and Britain experiencing a White Christmas. This prediction in reflected in the latest odds from William Hill Bookmakers who have given shortened odds of snow falling on Christmas Day.

The bookmaker have also given odds of 16/1 that the lowest recorded temperature in England will be beaten (-26.1C, Jan 10 1982, Shropshire), and even odds of 100/1 that Big Ben Fails to chime due to being frozen solid and that the Thames will freeze over between Westminster Bridge and Tower Bridge.

The chilly long range forecasts also follow the coolest summer since 1986 in many parts of Ireland and since 1962 in parts of the southwest. The highest temperature recorded this summer was 25.5°C at Oak Park, Co. Carlow on the 3rd of June.
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Forecaster predicts heavy snow in January – again by Daniel Fisher
Saturday, September 3rd 2011, 5:06 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A BITTERLY cold winter and prolonged snowfall may hit Wales for the third year in a row, forecasters warned yesterday.

Welsh forecasters are suggesting long-term heavy snowfall could wreak havoc again across the country, especially in January and February.

The past two winters have been especially cold in the UK, as high pressure systems settled over northern Europe, preventing warmer air currents crossing in from the Atlantic.

December last year was the coldest in the UK for about 100 years – and Cardiff saw its heaviest snowfall for 30 years.

The Met Office has forecast a colder-than-average start to the autumn, while Welsh forecasters Positive Weather Solutions are already predicting a white winter and freezing temperatures in January and February.

The Met Office is predicting a return to dark cloud, wind and rain this weekend, with minimum temperatures hitting single figures overnight.
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