Articles Tagged "Winter 2011-12"

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Sun's 11-year cycle means we're in for Arctic freeze this winter, say scientists by Leon Watson
Monday, October 10th 2011, 11:46 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Study measures sun's UV radiation to 'predict' seasons

First-ever 'high-resolution' scan of solar radiation

Cycle's effect on weather 'greater than first thought'

This year's low radiation makes for cold Easterly winds

It's been a lovely Indian summer - but it could come back to bite us.

That's what scientists predict after working out the first ever pattern of activity for the sun.

According to research, the sun runs on an 11-year cycle - and this affects winter weather over the northern hemisphere.
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Winter forecast: Brutal cold, snow for Midwest by Doyle Rice, USA TODAY
Wednesday, October 5th 2011, 5:52 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
Image: AccuWeather

Another punishing winter is likely for the north-central USA, according to a forecast released today by the private weather forecasting firm AccuWeather.

While the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic shouldn't see a winter as severe as last year, bitterly cold blasts of arctic air are expected in the northern Plains, Midwest and Great Lakes in December and January, with above-average snowfall, according to AccuWeather long-range meteorologist Paul Pastelok.

Chicago, which endured several blizzards last winter, could be one of the hardest-hit U.S. cities in terms of both snow and cold, he says.

In the South, there is little hope for Texas to escape its epic drought this winter, as below-average precipitation is predicted for most of the state.

Click sorce to read FULL report from Doyle Rice
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Are we set for a long, cold Winter? by Adrian Lee
Friday, September 23rd 2011, 3:23 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
THE leaves haven’t yet fallen from the trees and the forecasters are already predicting a bleak start to winter.

After one last sunshine bonanza at the end of next week, when the mercury is set to nudge the mid-20Cs, it will be time to batten down the hatches. According to several forecasters, if you thought last year was bad you ain’t seen nothing yet. Snow by the end of October is just one of the gloomy predictions unveiled in the latest batch of attentiongrabbing long-range forecasts.

The weather is now big business, worth an estimated £500million to companies now rivalling the Met Office and playing a key role in the economy. There’s huge pressure to gaze into the future, allowing us all to make plans. In fact, some companies are now producing forecasts for the next nine months, although stressing they can only be a guide. With the British weather notoriously fickle and prone to change over a matter of hours, how on earth can the forecasters look so far ahead?

It’s done by studying a complex mix of factors, including previous conditions at any given time of year. Even now the temperature of the sea surface in the equatorial part of the Pacific Ocean will have an impact on the British winter to come. If it falls lower than normal for several months, the phenomenon is known as La Niña. The most dramatic effects are seen nearby but La Niña can have an impact on weather thousands of miles away. It influences the jet stream, an intense upper air current that helps the creation of the low pressure fronts which sweep across Britain from the Atlantic, normally bringing wet, mild weather.

Click source to read several forecasts inc. Piers Corbyn
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Looming U.S. Winter May Repeat Cold, Snow by Brian K. Sullivan
Saturday, September 17th 2011, 7:44 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The winter of 2011-2012 will probably be colder than normal for much of the northern U.S., although a repeat of the worst of last year’s East Coast snowstorms is unlikely, forecasters said.

A cooling in the Pacific Ocean known as La Nina is predicted to return this year, joined by another season of frigid Arctic blasts caused by pressure differentials over the North Pole and northern Atlantic Ocean.

“We’re looking at a cold start to the winter with maybe a mild finish,” said Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland.

Forecasters are predicting the coldest weather from the Great Plains to the Great Lakes, along with heavy snows across the northern tier. Cold weather is likely to increase demand for heating and power-plant fuels.

The coming winter may be colder than both the 30- and 10- year averages, increasing heating demand, said Travis Hartman, a meteorologist at MDA EarthSat Weather in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Nov. 1 to March 31 will probably be 7 percent colder than the 10-year norm and 1.3 percent colder than last year, Rogers said.

New York City may be hit by several snowstorms, according to Hartman. He doesn’t expect a repeat of the past two years, when snow records fell in Central Park and some city streets were unplowed for days.

Click source to read FULL report from Brian K. Sullivan
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AccuWeather: This winter to be much like the last by Dawn Rhodes
Wednesday, October 5th 2011, 10:04 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
But not all prognosticators agree

If you're hoping for a reprieve from heavy snowfall in Chicago this winter, you may be out in the cold.

Meteorologists at predict that Chicago will get between 50 and 58 inches of snow this winter, on par with last winter's total of 57.9 inches.

AccuWeather senior meteorologist Paul Pastelok said colder-than-average weather will hit harder in December and January, then ease slightly in February. However, the snow will be more evenly distributed throughout the season, rather than falling in crippling bunches like February's Groundhog Day blizzard, Pastelok said.

"It doesn't mean we're going to have an exact replica of last year," Pastelok said, "but it's going to be similar."

Click source to read FULL report from Dawn Rhodes
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