Articles Tagged "Winter 2011-12"

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Blame an anticipated colder, snowier winter on effects of La Nina by Meg Jones
Monday, October 3rd 2011, 1:19 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
MILWAUKEE – The Pacific Ocean near the equator is gradually cooling, and that could mean another cold and snowy winter in Wisconsin.

Forecasters are predicting another La Nina winter, an unusual occurrence since last winter was also under the influence of La Nina.

While it’s always difficult to predict weather, La Nina winters are noted for below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall.

"One thing that you can usually count on in La Nina winters – the chance of it being milder than average is pretty low," said Jeff Craven, science and operations officer at the National Weather Service office in Sullivan, Wis. "Someone looking to wear shorts this winter will have to go south of here."

There have been only four consecutive La Nina winters in the last six decades. Records of the weather phenomenon date to 1950

Click source to read FULL report from Meg Jones
Source Link: news.bostonherald.com
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Irish facing new Ice Age this winter says expert by Cathal Dervan
Friday, August 12th 2011, 10:15 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Forecaster issues dire weather warning for upcoming season.

Ireland is going to be snowed in again this winter – and for many years to come according to a world renowned weather expert.

Long range forcecaster James Madden has predicted another ice age winter for Ireland after record snow levels in December and January.

The Exacta Weather expert has warned that Ireland will experience record low temperatures and huge snowfalls again this winter.

The Irish Examiner reports that a drastic alteration in the flow of the Gulf Stream coupled with Icelandic volcano eruptions and low solar activity are combining to lead to the severe weather warning.
Source Link: irishcentral.com
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AccuWeather’s Margusity takes early look at winter
Thursday, August 11th 2011, 10:07 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
Click source to read FULL Early USA Winter Forecast for 2011-12 from AccuWeather
Source Link: washingtonpost.com
Colder Than Average Winter Forecast For Ireland And UK by Mark Dunphy, IrishWeatherOnline.com
Monday, August 22nd 2011, 1:15 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Yet another long range forecasting agency has pinned its colours to the mast by predicting a colder than average winter 2011-12 across Ireland and the United Kingdom.

UK-based Positive Weather Solutions says the winter months will be colder than average everywhere and that some regions will experience significantly colder than average temperatures between December and March.

The agency, which has a relatively high success rate in its long range weather predictions, has also given a 36% chance of the Ireland and Britain experiencing a White Christmas. This prediction in reflected in the latest odds from Paddy Power Bookmakers who on Sunday shortened their odds of snow falling on Christmas Day to 11/4 in in London and 7/2 in Dublin.

The chilly outlook follows six weeks after another UK-based long range weather forecaster, also issued a severe winter weather warning. James Madden from weather organisation Exacta Weather is once again forecasting record breaking snowfall and freezing temperatures during November, December and January.

Click source to read FULL report from Mark Dunphy
Source Link: irishweatheronline.com
Cold European Winters and Low Solar Activity
Tuesday, June 28th 2011, 11:03 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
Reference

Lockwood, M., Harrison, R.G., Woolings, T. and Solanki, S.K. 2010. Are cold winters in Europe associated with low solar activity? Environmental Research Letters 5: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024001.

What was done

Noting that "solar activity during the current sunspot minimum has fallen to levels unknown since the start of the 20th century," and that "the Maunder minimum (about 1650-1700) was a prolonged episode of low solar activity which coincided with more severe winters in the United Kingdom and continental Europe," the authors write that "motivated by recent relatively cold winters in the UK," they investigated the possible connection between these severe winters and low solar activity, identifying "regionally anomalous cold winters by detrending the Central England temperature record using reconstructions of the northern hemisphere mean temperature."

What was learned

Lockwood et al. discovered that "cold winter excursions from the hemispheric trend" do indeed "occur more commonly in the UK during low solar activity, consistent with the solar influence on the occurrence of persistent blocking events in the eastern Atlantic," and they state that "colder UK winters (relative to the longer-term trend) can therefore be associated with lower open solar flux (and hence with lower solar irradiance and higher cosmic ray flux)." They are quick to note, however, that "this is a regional and seasonal effect relating to European winters and not a global effect."
Source Link: co2science.org
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Brrr-ace yourselves! Britain to shiver in -20C in WEEKS as councils stockpile extra grit by Emily Allen
Sunday, October 9th 2011, 12:19 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
1.4million tonnes of salt has been ordered this year

Snow already falling in Scotland

Temperatures in London today are 16.5C lower than last week


Britain is just weeks away from being in the grip of temperatures as low as -20C, forecasters have predicted.

Parts of Britain already saw snow this week, with two inches falling in the Cairngorms in Scotland.

The rest of Britain is being warned to brace itself for wintry conditions and falling snow from the beginning of November.

And it looks like the colder weather is already on its way - as temperatures today plunged in certain areas to just 8C - a staggering 21.5C below last weekend's record highs - with the wind chill making it feel decidedly colder

In central London today readings of 13C were recorded, in Macduff, Aberdeenshire, the mercury plummeted to 8C, while Plymouth, in Devon, was comparatively basking in 16C of heat.
Source Link: dailymail.co.uk
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UK Met Office Pours Cold Water On Severe Winter 2011-12 Forecasts by Mark Dunphy
Saturday, October 15th 2011, 12:00 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The UK Met Office has distanced itself from recent media reports that the UK and Ireland are set for an ‘Arctic Winter’. The UKMO, which stopped issuing seasonal forecasts in 2010, also has said that recent long range forecasts by other agencies “bear no relation to the kinds of weather that forecasters at the Met Office are currently expecting”.

iWeather Online (IWO) also has forecast that Ireland and the UK are unlikely to see a repeat of the pre-Christmas freeze of 2010. Temperatures are expected to remain below average for much of the coming season, however, according to the IWO forecast.

In an opinion piece for The Times, UKMO Chief Executive John Hirst called for a sense of reason in response to the claims (read 1, 2, 3) of other forecasting agencies in weeks.
Source Link: irishweatheronline.com
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Britain to be hit by SNOW in October... forecasters warn an early winter is on its way by Jessica Satherley
Tuesday, September 20th 2011, 5:31 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Britain is about to experience an early winter, with snow expected to arrive as soon as next month, forecasters have warned.

Temperatures over the next three months will plummet to below average with one long-range forecaster predicting snowfalls in October.

James Madden, of Exacta Weather, said: ‘I expect to see the first signs of some moderate to heavy snowfalls as early as October or November in certain parts of the UK.

‘I expect December, January and February to experience below-average temperatures, with the heaviest snowfall occurring within the time frame of November to January across many parts of the UK
Source Link: dailymail.co.uk
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Forecaster predicts heavy snow in January – again by Daniel Fisher
Saturday, September 3rd 2011, 5:06 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A BITTERLY cold winter and prolonged snowfall may hit Wales for the third year in a row, forecasters warned yesterday.

Welsh forecasters are suggesting long-term heavy snowfall could wreak havoc again across the country, especially in January and February.

The past two winters have been especially cold in the UK, as high pressure systems settled over northern Europe, preventing warmer air currents crossing in from the Atlantic.

December last year was the coldest in the UK for about 100 years – and Cardiff saw its heaviest snowfall for 30 years.

The Met Office has forecast a colder-than-average start to the autumn, while Welsh forecasters Positive Weather Solutions are already predicting a white winter and freezing temperatures in January and February.

The Met Office is predicting a return to dark cloud, wind and rain this weekend, with minimum temperatures hitting single figures overnight.
Source Link: walesonline.co.uk
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Severe Weather Conditions Predicted to Return This Winter by Rita O'Connor
Thursday, September 22nd 2011, 10:07 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Mr James Madden from Electra Weather, who has predicted another harsh winter for Ireland for 2011, has also predicted unusual wind strengths for this autumn, which he says will result in possible damaging gale force winds.

According to Electra Weather there will also be an early start to winter as the weather turns progressively colder with heavy snowfalls between November to January. They have concerns as to the huge implications this may pose to infrastructure and Ireland’s transportation systems/economy.

Communications Officer for the Dublin Met Office said that “these predictions could be right, but equally they could be wrong, its guess work.” The Met Office spokesperson added that their office in Dublin doesn’t make long range weather forecasts and never have.

According to Exacta Weather, they base their predictions on low solar activity and ocean behaviour which alter atmospheric circulation and block jet stream patterns that create enhanced moisture in terms of snowfall and extreme cold.

Click source to read FULL report from Rita O'Connor
Source Link: theepochtimes.com
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