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The outlook for winter 2011-2012 by Kirk Melhuish, Atlanta Weather Examiner
Friday, October 21st 2011, 12:10 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
WSB Meteorologist has released his winter outlook, we quote it here:

It is worth noting that Metro Atlanta has now experienced three consecutive winters with significant 3 inch+ snowfalls, you have to go back to 1892 to 1895 to find the same thing.

According to Klause Wolter of the CDC: “The current rank of the MEI has dropped further from 16th last month to 13th this month, just a little weaker than moderate La Niña rankings. The 2010-11 portion of this La Niña event had been classified as strong (top 6 rankings since 1950) from July-August 2010 through March-April 2011, tied with 1975-76 for 2nd place in terms of strong duration, and only behind 1955-56 (15 months).

ENSO is comprised of both El Nino and La Nina and La Nada or neutral phases. El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon to cause global climate variability on interannual time scales. Here we attempt to monitor ENSO by basing the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) on the six main observed variables over the tropical Pacific. These six variables are: sea-level pressure (P), zonal (U) and meridional (V) components of the surface wind, sea surface temperature (S), surface air temperature (A), and total cloudiness fraction of the sky (C).

Click source to read FULL report from Kirk Melhuish
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Book: Frozen Britain by Ian McCaskill and Paul Hudson: Review: Is Britain's Future Freezing? by James Gillespie
Saturday, December 3rd 2011, 12:42 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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WHEN Siberian conditions hit Britain this time last year everyone was caught out, including the weathermen.

Global warming, we had been told, meant the snowy conditions we remember from our childhoods would be just that: memories.

But following the bitter cold of the past two winters those predictions are beginning to look rather wide of the mark. now a new book, Frozen Britain by meteorologists Ian McCaskill and Paul Hudson, suggests that rather than facing milder winters we could be in for some more Arctic big freezes.

Certainly, despite everything that the global-warming lobby has suggested, our climate may be dictated by more than just man- made toxins pumped into the atmosphere. One of the key indicators – which has fallen out of favour with the computer-obsessed meteorologists of today – is the sun.

According to McCaskill and Hudson the clues to our future weather may lie with the sun.

“In the past few years it has been behaving very oddly,” Hudson says.

In the past, when there have been periods of relative inactivity on the surface of the sun they have been followed by years of cold winters.

Research published recently showed that in the early 1800s when activity on the sun was remarkably low for many years there was a dramatic change in the weather.
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Severe Weather Warning Issued For Winter 2011-12 by Mark Dunphy
Saturday, June 25th 2011, 5:32 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A UK-based long range weather forecaster has issued a severe winter weather warning for 2011-2012. The advisory has been issued following one of the coldest winters experienced in Ireland and Britain more than 45 years.

James Madden from weather organisation Exacta Weather correctly predicted the harsh conditions experienced over the last two years, and is once again forecasting record breaking snowfall and freezing temperatures during November, December and January.

One of Madden’s primary methods of analysing long range weather conditions is his analysis of solar cycles. Last week Irish Weather Online carried a story from the National Solar Observatory (NSO) and the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL) stating that a missing jet stream, fading spots, and slower activity near the poles are signs that our Sun is heading for a rest period even as it is acting up for the first time in years.

Dr. Frank Hill, associate director of the NSO’s Solar Synoptic Network, said of the results: “this could be the last solar maximum we’ll see for a few decades. That would affect everything from space exploration to Earth’s climate.
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Winter 2010-2011 predictions by Theodore White
Monday, July 19th 2010, 1:29 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
With everyone enjoying our warmer than normal summer, one can’t help but speculate as to what winter of 2010-2011 will be like for our area. This is what Theodore White, astrometeorologist has to say:

“From my long-range astronomical calculations for North America, I've forecasted 2010-11 to be a very strong El Nino year. This is caused mainly by the activity of the Sun, which will undergo a historic solar maximum that will bring to an end the 36-year global warming phase that began in the year 1980 while opening a new global cooling phase that will get underway by the year 2017. In the meantime, I am also forecasting that the years of late 2009 to 2016 will feature some of the world's wildest climate and weather events of the early 21st century that, by the mid-2010s, will have seen the close of the current 36-year phase of global warming that Earth has experienced since 1980. By 2010, in my estimation, we will have entered the 30th year of Solar-forced global warming. These last six-to-seven-and-a-half years, from 2010 to about 2017, will likely feature some of the warmest global temperatures recorded in the entire 36th year global warming cycle. This cycle, like that of global cooling on its way in the decades ahead - is directly caused by the Sun

Click source to read Full report from Theodore White
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La Nina Winter Could Bring Big Snow to Pacific Northwest by Kirstie Hettinga
Tuesday, August 17th 2010, 8:13 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The Pacific Northwest had a less-than-stellar winter in terms of skiing last year as seen in the Vancouver Olympics.

A La Nina weather pattern this year, however, could mean stormier weather for the 2010-2011 season.

It can be difficult to forecast just how much more moisture a wetter-than-normal winter will bring, Expert Senior Meteorologist and West Coast resident Clark said. For the Pacific Northwest, though, Clark is predicting that precipitation will be "normal to well-above normal." He described above-normal precipitation as 20 percent or more that is typically received in the region.
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It's here! England's first snowfall in Cumbria... and more is on the way this weekend by Emily Allen
Friday, December 2nd 2011, 9:33 PM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
#Severe weather warning issued for northern Scotland as snow expected Sunday and Monday .

#Snow also lay on the peaks of Snowdonia for the first time this winter.

Winter's first snow flakes have fallen in the north of England and more of the white stuff is on its way this weekend say forecasters.

As much of the country awoke to a crisp, frosty morning, in the South Tyne Valley snow quickly blanketed the ground and blizzards greeted those who ventured outdoors.

Snow also lay on the peaks of Snowdonia today for the first time this winter.

The Met Office has issued a severe weather warning for northern Scotland warning residents to brace themselves for snow on Sunday and Monday. Snow could also make an appearance across the Pennines.

Click source to read FULL report from Emily Allen
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USA Long-range winter forecast is updated by Vicki Rock
Friday, December 2nd 2011, 8:20 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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SOMERSET -— Apparently 'tis not the season for those who are fond of snowy weather.

On Thursday AccuWeather released an updated winter outlook that backs off the idea that December will get the winter off to a snowy start.

"That's out the window," Paul Pastelok, chief long-range forecaster, said in a written release.

Snowfall this season is likely to be near to below normal in the mid-Atlantic region, with temperatures averaging above normal. Pastelok sees a season in which winter storms tend to cut toward the Great Lakes rather than blow up off the East Coast. That would keep the region on the warm side of storms.

Meteorologist Meghan Evans said the worst snow and cold will be in the Midwest and interior Northwest. Chicago and Minneapolis will lie in the heart of this zone.
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Winter Forecast 2010-2011: Heavier Snow for Chicago, Minneapolis and Detroit, Normal Snowfall for NYC, Philly and D.C. by Joe Bastardi
Saturday, September 11th 2010, 11:29 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The major metropolitan areas of the mid-Atlantic that were pummeled with snow last year will get a break this winter, but that doesn't mean there will be no snow to shovel. In contrast, Chicago, Milwaukee and Minneapolis could be in the heaviest snow zone this upcoming winter.

Winter's Worst Cold and Snow

Overall, Chief Long-Range Meteorologist Joe Bastardi is predicting that the worst of winter's cold and snow will be from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Plains and western Great Lakes. That will put cities like Portland and Seattle that escaped with a very nice winter last year, colder and snowier this year. Fargo and Minneapolis to Green Bay will also receive above-normal winter snowfall.

Other cities predicted to receive above-normal winter snowfall include Chicago, Omaha, Minneapolis, Detroit, Cleveland, Seattle and Portland.

Bastardi predicts severe cold will hit Alaska and western and central Canada.

"The Canadian winter will be as harsh as last year's was gentle," Bastardi said.

Click source to read FULL report from Joe Bastardi
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Piers Corbyn: - Essence of Winter Europe - Public Sponsored Forecast - HELL TO FREEZE OVER THIS WINTER
Wednesday, December 1st 2010, 7:33 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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CLICK to download PDF file and read FULL Public Sponsored UK & European Winter Forecast from Piers Corbyn.
Prepare for extra-heavy dose of snow, climatologist warns
Friday, November 18th 2011, 11:52 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Canadians may have to wait longer for the full, frigid effects of winter this year but chilly weather is still on its way, an Environment Canada climatologist has warned.

"We've never cancelled winter in this country. We're not going to do it this year," David Phillips told CTV News Channel on Thursday.

When winter finally blankets Canada, Phillips said colder-than-usual weather is expected courtesy of a natural phenomenon known as "La Nina."

Known as the opposite of El Ninos, La Nina is characterized by chillier sea surface temperatures in the Pacific. Phillips said those conditions will result in an extra-heavy dose of winter snow for Canada.

"There's a choreography that exists between what the ocean temperatures are like and the air above it," Phillips told "Ultimately, La Nina tends to force Arctic air down deeper into the heart of North America

Click source to read FULL report
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