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USA Long-range winter forecast is updated by Vicki Rock
Friday, December 2nd 2011, 8:20 AM GMT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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SOMERSET -— Apparently 'tis not the season for those who are fond of snowy weather.

On Thursday AccuWeather released an updated winter outlook that backs off the idea that December will get the winter off to a snowy start.

"That's out the window," Paul Pastelok, chief long-range forecaster, said in a written release.

Snowfall this season is likely to be near to below normal in the mid-Atlantic region, with temperatures averaging above normal. Pastelok sees a season in which winter storms tend to cut toward the Great Lakes rather than blow up off the East Coast. That would keep the region on the warm side of storms.

Meteorologist Meghan Evans said the worst snow and cold will be in the Midwest and interior Northwest. Chicago and Minneapolis will lie in the heart of this zone.

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The key players are arguing against a snowy winter in this region. The Pacific is in a state of weak La Nina, with sea-surface temperatures slightly cooler than normal. A stronger one was present last year, but this one is showing signs of behaving more like the typical coastal-storm suppressing La Nina, Pastelok said. And the atmospheric blocking pattern in the North Atlantic that allowed cold air to pour into the Northeast last year is missing in action.

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